Both the United States and the European Union have expressed interest in constraining Iran’s nuclear program—but negotiations are fraught with risk, and require a willing partner in Tehran in order to achieve real progress. With the signing of the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), Iran agreed to suspend its nuclear …
Read More »SCARCITY & SECURITY: EUROPEAN IMPACT OF BIDEN’S LNG DECISION
Biden’s LNG freeze makes little sense from both European and the US energy security perspectives. It won’t promote a green energy transition. Most energy experts acknowledge that LNG is the principal bridge fuel necessary for a green future. And if American LNG is not readily available, it will be replaced …
Read More »The Geopolitics of Turkey’s Upcoming Elections
On May 11, Turkish opposition candidate Muharren Ince announced that he was dropping out of the upcoming presidential elections, allegedly due to, in his words, a “smear campaign” that is “the work of the Gülenist Terror Group” (Daily Sabah, May 11). As one of four opposition candidates running against Turkish …
Read More »North-South Transport Corridor: Iran-Russia New Railway to Circumvent Western Pressure
The construction of the International North-South Transport Corridor is another way for Iran and Russia to circumvent Western sanctions and lower trade cost while increasing its volume. After the United States and the European Union imposed extensive sanctions on Russia in response to its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, …
Read More »Geopolitics Grants Omani LNG a Lifeline
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has given Oman’s natural gas industry, long handicapped by relatively modest reserves and high extraction costs, a new lease on life. The global energy crisis caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine one year ago has underlined the centrality of LNG to Europe’s energy security. Since …
Read More »Freezing Cold Puts Iran’s Natural-Gas Ambitions On Ice .
By Michael Scollon As winter approached, Iran was relishing the prospect of falling temperatures that could put Europe in a deep freeze and allow Tehran to bask in the wealth of its formidable natural-gas reserves. A difficult winter for Europeans would offer many advantages, including leverage in protracted negotiations in Vienna …
Read More »The Dynamics Shaping Global Energy Markets in 2023
After a year of unprecedented turmoil, global energy prices could return to a ‘new normal’ in 2023—or they could be further disrupted by ongoing or new political and economic crises. The full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 led to major reverberations in energy markets around the world. In an attempt …
Read More »Winter is Coming: Iran’s Looming Energy Crisis
The Iranian government has vowed to increase its gas output and international exports, but cannot produce enough to keep the lights on at home. The Iranian government is currently embroiled in the most serious threat to its rule since the end of the Iran-Iraq War in 1988. The protests surrounding …
Read More »China, India and Turkey to siphon more Russian oil ahead of EU ban
NESREEN BAKHEIT and RURIKA IMAHASHI, Nikkei staff writers June 9, 2022 15:05 JST DUBAI/TOKYO — China and India are continuing to increase imports of Russian oil in a dramatic reshaping of global trade in energy, according to the latest industry data. But the ability of Asia to absorb more production …
Read More »Cheaper Russian oil is the scourge of cheap Iranian oil
Iran’s oil sales have risen under the Biden administration, but if the Ukraine crisis and Iran’s current policy in the nuclear talks continue, the US could tighten conditions for selling Iranian oil. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has disrupted global oil trade and has given Iran the opportunity to increase exports to China, …
Read More »