he expiry of a 25-year gas contract has exposed a shift in the Iran-Turkey energy relationship, with Ankara now enjoying more supply options while Tehran risks losing one of its most dependable export markets. The contract expired on July 29 after governing Iranian pipeline gas supplies to Turkey for 25 …
Read More »Crude above $90 again—India faces higher import bill, rupee pressure as oil prices rise
Brent crude rises to highest level in nearly a month as US-Iran deadlock keeps Strait of Hormuz disrupted, raising risks of higher import bills, fuel prices & inflation for India.New Delhi: Nearly six months into the US-Iran war, the oil market is again facing supply uncertainty, with Brent crude climbing …
Read More »Who really owns the Caspian Sea?
Amir Soltanzadeh 08/19/2026August 19, 2026 Five countries border the Caspian Sea, but none owns a fixed share. A 2018 convention established rules for navigation, security and fishing while leaving some seabed borders unresolved. For decades, debate in Iran over the Caspian Sea has often centered on a deceptively simple question: What percentage …
Read More »Iran signals gas price hike as fuel crisis looms
Amir Soltanzadeh Iranian authorities want to dampen fuel consumption, but a sudden increase in gasoline prices risks social unrest as many Iranian households are already under severe economic pressure Iran is moving closer to politically sensitive changes in gasoline pricing as the government struggles with a widening gap between domestic …
Read More »The US–Saudi nuclear deal: An energy partnership caught in a diplomatic ultimatum
The United States and Saudi Arabia took a step toward nuclear cooperation on 22nd July 22 2026, when U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright and Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman signed a Section 123 Agreement. It creates the legal basis for civilian nuclear trade and comes with a bilateral safeguards agreement. Washington …
Read More »Beyond the Strait of Hormuz: Refining Capacity and Product-Market Vulnerability
The recent disruption in the Middle East, including the closure and uneven reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, has exposed a shift in the global energy system’s principal vulnerability. Initial concern focused on whether enough crude oil could reach the market. Yet crude flows have recovered faster than supplies of …
Read More »Russian crude continues to make up 50% of India’s oil imports in July as Hormuz risks persist
Russian oil remains India’s biggest supply cushion, but experts say LPG & LNG imports remain highly vulnerable to renewed Strait of Hormuz disruption.New Delhi: Amid renewed uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz, Russian crude continues to dominate India’s imports, averaging around 2.5 million barrels per day (mbpd) until 15 July, and …
Read More »A remote bridge shows how US-Iran war is expanding
A reported US strike on a railway bridge in northern Iran has drawn attention to a lesser-known front in the widening conflict: the battle over the transport corridors linking Iran to Central Asia, Russia and China. Iranian state media and the IRGC said cruise missiles attributed to US forces struck …
Read More »NATO 3.0 and energy security: Rebalancing transatlantic defence in Ankara
The 2026 NATO Summit opens today, 7th July, in Ankara, at a critical moment for the Alliance as Russia’s war in Ukraine, pressure on European defense systems, and the U.S. strategic pivot toward the Indo-Pacific intensify debates over transatlantic burden-sharing. The emerging “NATO 3.0” framework would shift greater responsibility for conventional defense, …
Read More »US sanctions waiver could bring Iran’s oil trade out of the shadows
The United States’ new Iran sanctions waiver could do more than boost Iranian oil exports. It may also help shift Iranian energy trade from shadow networks back toward conventional global markets. On June 22, 2026, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) issued General License …
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