Iran is racing to restore gas infrastructure before winter after losing about a third of its pre-war production capacity, a reconstruction challenge that could force Tehran into difficult choices between keeping homes warm, power plants running and industry supplied. Iranian officials say attacks have knocked out about 230 million cubic …
Read More »The illusion of redundancy: Why oil markets are misreading Gulf supply risk
Oil markets are behaving as if the region’s supply problems will soon resolve themselves. That confidence is becoming increasingly difficult to justify.By mid-September 2026, futures prices had repeatedly eased or paused on the basis of limited diplomatic signals, even as three major vulnerabilities were developing at the same time: Iran’s …
Read More »The gamble behind US attacks on Iran’s oil tankers
US attacks on Iranian oil tankers could make it far harder and more expensive for Tehran to keep selling its crude, but the strategy carries a potentially much larger cost: turning the Persian Gulf’s energy infrastructure into an expanding battlefield. The latest US strikes on three Iranian oil tankers mark …
Read More »The Syria Option: Rethinking Middle Eastern Oil Exports Beyond Hormuz
President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Syria as a possible alternative to the Strait of Hormuz has pushed an old energy-security problem back to the center of Middle Eastern strategy. On September 3, Trump reacted positively to a Washington Post report describing Syria’s effort to market itself as an overland corridor from …
Read More »Natural gas, corridors, and security: Why Turkey wants Egypt in the Mecca Pact
The Eastern Mediterranean’s importance is often measured by its gas discoveries, but reserves acquire strategic value only when they can reach consumers. Egypt’s Zohr, Israel’s Tamar and Leviathan, and Cyprus’s Aphrodite, Glaucus and Cronos have given the basin a substantial resource base. Yet Egypt occupies the pivotal position because its Idku …
Read More »Is the United Arab Emirates’ Iran Trade Freeze Economic Shock or Strategic Pivot?
Enforcement Will Test Abu Dhabi’s Appetite to Absorb Domestic Costs While Pressuring Tehran On August 19, 2026, the United Arab Emirates announced it had stopped “all trade, commercial exchanges and financial transactions” with Iran “until further notice.” But the Foreign Ministry did not cite a new statute, cabinet resolution, sanctions list or …
Read More »What to expect as Iran braces for new US economic measures amid war
Tehran may count on links with China and others to weather the storm, but average Iranian people will bear the brunt. Tehran, Iran – Iranians are preparing for further economic pain as the United States gets ready to announce a new round of punishing sanctions on Iran. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is …
Read More »Turkey’s gas pivot leaves Iran with fewer cards to play
he expiry of a 25-year gas contract has exposed a shift in the Iran-Turkey energy relationship, with Ankara now enjoying more supply options while Tehran risks losing one of its most dependable export markets. The contract expired on July 29 after governing Iranian pipeline gas supplies to Turkey for 25 …
Read More »Attacks on UAE vessels raise risks for Indian crude imports. But LPG, LNG supplies far more vulnerable
India may avoid a crude supply crunch, but persistent attacks on Gulf shipping could raise freight, insurance and fuel costs, while putting LPG and LNG supplies at riskNew Delhi: Recent attacks on UAE’s state-owned Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) vessels and Saudi energy infrastructure are unlikely to leave India short …
Read More »From the Gulf to the Mediterranean: Energy infrastructure in the line of fire
On 29th July 2026, a suspected drone struck the Energos Winter, a US-owned floating storage and regasification unit (FSRU), at Egypt’s Damietta port. The resulting fire spread to the nearby Gaslog Salem. Both crews were evacuated, the fire was contained, and no casualties were reported. Maritime security firms Ambrey and Vanguard identified …
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